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Taiwan Election Results a Repudiation of China, Experts Say

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wens landslide victory over her main opponent, Han Kuo-yu of the Kuomingtang (KMT) party, who favors friendlier ties with Beijing, sent a clear message that the Chinese regimes intimidation efforts have not worked, experts say.

There was “no doubt” that the election results signified a “repudiation of China,” and “a repudiation of the idea of reunification,” June Teufel Dreyer, a political science professor at the University of Miami and a senior fellow of the Foreign Policy Research Institute, told The Epoch Times.

Tsai won re-election in the three-way race on Jan. 11, scoring a record 8.17 million votes—or about 57 percent of the popular—the highest tally since the self-ruled island began its first direct presidential election in 1996. Her Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) also dominated with 61 of the 113 legislative seats.

The election result was a dramatic turnaround for Tsai, who last year had struggled in her approval ratings. Tsais popularity has since seen a sharp rise for her taking a hard stance on Beijing while supporting pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong.

Although the democratic island maintains de-facto independence from the mainland with its own policy, economic system, and military, the Chinese regime considers Taiwan a part of its territory. It has sought to merge with the island under the “one country, two systems” formula, the framework that currently governs Hong Kong and Macau.

“This election only confirmed in spades that the idea [one country, two systems] has no market in Taiwan,” Richard Bush, director of the Center for East Asia Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution, told The Epoch Times affiliate NTD following an election-watching event in Washington.

tsai rally election taiwan
tsai rally election taiwan
Confetti falls as Tsai Ing-Wen (C) holds hands with Vice President-elect William Lai (C-L) and Vice-President, Chen Chien-jen (C-R), as she celebrates after addressing supporters following her re-election as President of Taiwan in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 11, 2020. (Carl Court/Getty Images)

Hope for Democracy

Derek Mitchell, president of the National Democratic Institute and a former U.S. ambassador to Burma, called the election results “a referendum on China.”

It also exemplified the idea of the “silent majority,” whose views may only be realized through democratic votes, according to Mitchell.

“When people say: in China the people support their government, they all support the … CCP [Chinese Communist Party]. The answer is—how do you know?” he said at the same event.

“We see what the silent majority says when theyre allowed to speak,” he continued.

Hong Kong anti-government protesters attend a rally in support of Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen outside the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) headquarters in Taipei
Hong Kong anti-government protesters attend a rally in support of Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen outside the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) headquarters in Taipei
Hong Kong anti-government protesters attend a rally in support of Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen outside the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan, on Jan. 11, 2020. (Tyrone Siu/Reuters)

By reference to the recent Hong Kong district elections, where pro-democracy candidates also won a sweeping victory, Mitchell noted that theres a pattern of increasing engagement from the younger generation.

“That is the hope of democracy going forward, not the older folks who … have the same old mindsets in the same old ways, but new energy for democracy,” he said.

No Complacency

The Chinese regime is probably not surprised about the election outcome that they have also been following closely, but “they may not have expected there would be … such a wide margin,” Bonnie Glaser, director of the China Power Project at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said at the event.

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