The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its world economic outlook on Tuesday, predicting the global economy will suffer its biggest hit since the Great Depression.
The newest release of the 2020 World Economic Outlook, which the IMF updates regularly, predicts global output will shrink by 3 percent in 2020. The dismal forecast is a major downward revision of 6.3 percentage points from the IMFs January 2020 outlook.
“It is very likely that this year the global economy will experience its worst recession since the Great Depression, surpassing that seen during the Global Financial Crisis a decade ago,” IMF Economic Counsellor Gita Gopinath wrote in the report. “The Great Lockdown, as one might call it, is projected to shrink global growth dramatically.”
The IMF expects GDP in the United States to fall by 5.9 percentage points in 2020 and then rebound by 4.7 percent in 2021. It also expects that the world economy will rebound sharply next year, growing by 5.8 percent.
Still, Gopinath noted in a blog post accompanying the report that this outlook comes in the shadow of “tremendous uncertainty around what comes next.”
“Commensurate with the scale and speed of the crisis, domestic and international policy responses need to be large, rapidly deployed, and speedily recalibrated as new data becomes available,” she wrote. “The courageous actions of doctors and nurses need to be matched by policymakers all over the world so we can jointly overcome this crisis.”
The total loss to global gross domestic product (GDP) over 2020 and 2021 from the pandemic could be around $9 trillion dollars, the IMF predicts in the outlook.
The IMF noted that for the first time since the Great Depression, both advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies (EMDE) are in the grips of a recession. Growth in advanced economies in 2020 is projected to contract by 6.1 percent, while EMDEs are expected to decline by 2.2 percent, excluding China.
“This makes the Great Lockdown the worst recession since the Great Depression, and far worse than the Global Financial Crisis,” Gopinath wrote.
The sharp downgrade is associated with the fallout from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) virus, commonly known as the novel coronavirus.
“A rare disaster, a coronavirus pandemic, has resulted in a tragically large number of human lives being lost. As countries implement necessary quarantines and social distancing practices to contain the pandemic, the world has been put in a Great Lockdown. The magnitude and speed of collapse in activity that has followed is unlike anything experienced in our lifetimes,” Gopinath noted.
Earlier, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in a statement: “Today, we are confronted with a crisis like no other. COVID-19 has disrupted our social and economic order at lightning speed and on a scale that we havRead More – Source
The post IMF Says COVID-19 ‘Great Lockdown’ Will Be ‘Far Worse’ Than Global Financial Crisis appeared first on News Wire Now.