Trumps Hawkish Stance on China Turns Into a Reelection Pitch

News Analysis

WASHINGTON—President Donald Trumps harder stance on China may become one of his biggest strengths in the general election amid a growing consensus that something must be done to hold Beijing accountable for the worldwide pandemic.

Public opinion in the United States has shifted significantly against the Chinese regime in recent weeks, and this is creating a “big vulnerability” for former Vice President Joe Biden, says Libby Cantrill, managing director and head of public policy at PIMCO, an investment management firm.

Speaking at a virtual panel discussion on the U.S. election outlook hosted by the Institute of International Finance on April 16, Cantrill said that “Trump and Democrats on the Hill are strange bedfellows” in terms of skepticism about Beijing.

As vice president and almost four decades as a U.S. senator, Biden, however, had been friendly toward free trade and China, she said.

Trump has made confronting Chinas trade-distorting policies a centerpiece of his agenda, recently increasing pressure on Beijing for its handling of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) virus outbreak in Wuhan.

Cantrill said Trump would use Bidens “sympathetic approach” toward China against him going into the general election.

“One of the most bipartisan issues right now on Capitol Hill over the last few years has been sort of suspicion and skepticism around China,” she said. “The Democrats have a different kind of approach towards that skepticism but it results in the same outcome.”

In a recent poll, Americans reported bipartisan distrust of the Chinese governments handling of the outbreak of the CCP virus, commonly known as the novel coronavirus.

A Harris Poll survey conducted from March 14 to April 5 showed that 77 percent of Americans blame the CCP for the spread of the virus.

The belief was echoed across the political spectrum, as 67 percent of Democrats, 75 percent of independents, and 90 percent of Republicans think the Chinese regime is responsible for the pandemic.

Seventy-two percent of Americans also blame the Chinese government for inaccurately reporting the impact of the virus in China.

Cantrill said many voters underestimated Trumps “sincerity” on his trade agenda before the 2016 election, but he came to the White House with this “incredibly strong and deep-seated” view that America had been “short-shrifted on trade since the mid-1980s.”

She predicted that after the health crisis, Trump might declare another trade war against China in September or October.

According to the Harris Poll, 84 percent of Republicans and 64 percent of Democrats believe Trump should “reimpose tough tariffs” on Chinese goods if Beijing fails to meet the purchasing targets set by the phase one trade agreement between the two countries.

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