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Analysts Explain Whats Behind the India-China Border Clash

China and India border tensions recently intensified, leading to clashes that resulted in casualties on both sides.

The Ladakh region in the Himalayas has been disputed by the two countries since 1962.

As of June 17, Indian officials confirmed that at least 20 Indian soldiers died amid clashes in the Galwan Valley. The Chinese side admitted to casualties but refused to release numbers.

Violent face-offs were set off in May, but the two countries agreed in early June to peacefully resolve the conflict.

But clashes erupted on the night of June 15. And on June 16, Chinas Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) launched a military live-fire exercise in the region, according to a PLA announcement.

First Deaths In 45 Years

Indian casualties included a colonel. The Indian side claimed that the clash was triggered by Chinese troops, who built a temporary post on the Indian side. Meanwhile, the Chinese regime claimed that Indian forces crossed the Line of Actual Control (LAC)—a poorly demarcated line that separates the two sides—to provoke and attack Chinese army.

Both sides fought with each other with rocks and clubs. Indian officials said that Chinese soldiers used clubs studded with nails, which increased the lethality.

Epoch Times Photo
Epoch Times Photo
Indian army convoys make their way towards Leh, bordering China, in Gagangir, India on June 17, 2020. (TAUSEEF MUSTAFA/AFP via Getty Images)

China and India share a border more than 2,100 miles long and have a number of overlapping territorial claims.

India and China went to war in 1962 over a border dispute, which ended with a ceasefire agreement. China retained control of much of the Aksai Chin plain. The two countries armies have been eyeball-to-eyeball at their border but insist no bullet has been fired in the past four decades.

This is the first fatal clash between the worlds two most populous nations in about 45 years; the last one occurred on Oct. 20, 1975, when four Indian soldiers were ambushed and killed by Chinese soldiers as they were patrolling at Tulung La in the Arunachal Pradesh state.

Earlier this year, India built a road to connect a high-altitude forward air base, angering Beijing. In early May, Indian media reported that Chinese forces put up tents, dug trenches, and moved heavy equipment to India-claimed territory.

Soon after, the two nuclear-armed neighbors had stand-offs in at least three locations in the Ladakh region: Galwan Valley, Hot Springs, and Pangong Lake.

Epoch Times Photo
Epoch Times Photo
Indian Army vehicles drive on a road near Chang La high mountain pass in northern Indias Ladakh region of Jammu and Kashmir state, India near the border with China on June 17, 2020. (STR/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

Jeff Smith, researcher at U.S. think tank The Heritage Foundation, said the conflict will likely fuel anti-Chinese sentiment in India. “For the Indians it is unlikely this will be brushed aside or easily forgotten. Anti-Chinese sentiments were already running high in Delhi before the outbreak of violence,” he said in an email to The Epoch Times on June 17.

Smith explained that the Chinese regime has deployed “coercive tactics” in its territorial disputes in the East China Sea, South China Sea, and the India border. “The China-India border was once thought to be among the more stable of these fronts. It may be time to revisit that thinking.”

Meanwhile, James Carafano, vice president of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for National Security and Foreign Policy, speculated that the Chinese regime may have escalated the conflict because it is “worried about looking weak.”

“Or maybe Beijing is facing more internal pressure than we suspected. After all, Chinas economy has suffered a massive 6 percent drop in output, the first negative economic statistic in over 15 years,” he wrote in an opinion article _

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